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2025 Canadian Housing Market Outlook

Canada’s housing market is poised for another dynamic year in 2025, as economic conditions, policy measures, and demographic shifts interact to shape market trends. According to RE/MAX’s annual housing outlook, the sector is expected to face challenges but will also present opportunities across various regions.

A Nationwide Snapshot

Modest Price Growth

The national housing market is projected to experience a modest increase in average home prices. The pace of growth will vary depending on region, but rising demand from first-time buyers and immigration will underpin price stability. Persistent supply shortages, combined with economic resilience, are expected to maintain a competitive market environment.

Inventory Constraints

One of the most pressing issues for 2025 is the shortage of housing supply. Many markets across the country are grappling with low inventory, which continues to create challenges for affordability. Governments and developers are exploring solutions, such as intensifying housing starts, reducing red tape for construction, and introducing zoning reforms, though their impacts will take time to materialize.

The Role of Immigration

With Canada targeting a record number of new permanent residents, the demand for housing is expected to increase, particularly in urban centres like Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal. Immigration has consistently driven demand for both rental and ownership properties, adding pressure to already tight markets.


Regional Outlook

Western Canada

Western provinces like Alberta are emerging as hotbeds of housing activity. Cities such as Calgary and Edmonton are seeing strong market performance driven by economic stability in the energy sector and relatively affordable prices. Interprovincial migration to these cities is also boosting demand.

British Columbia, particularly Vancouver, remains one of the priciest regions in the country. While affordability challenges persist, demand continues to be high, driven by international immigration and local buyers seeking limited inventory.

Ontario

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) remains a focal point for housing activity, with demand for detached homes and condos expected to stay strong. However, affordability challenges in the GTA have pushed many buyers toward suburban and rural markets, which are seeing increased interest and competition.

Cities like London, Kitchener, and Hamilton are also drawing attention as attractive alternatives due to their relative affordability compared to Toronto.

Atlantic Canada

Atlantic Canada continues to shine as a destination for buyers seeking a balance between affordability and lifestyle. Halifax, Moncton, and St. John’s are experiencing steady growth, fuelled by interprovincial migration and a rising interest in remote work options.


Key Challenges and Considerations

Rising Interest Rates

The Bank of Canada’s monetary policy remains a crucial factor. Higher interest rates have tempered buyer enthusiasm in some markets but have not fully offset the impact of low supply and high demand. Affordability remains a concern, especially for first-time buyers.

Supply and Affordability

Despite efforts to increase housing stock, addressing the entrenched supply-demand imbalance will take time. Developers face rising construction costs, labour shortages, and regulatory hurdles, all of which contribute to the slow pace of new housing availability.

Environmental and Policy Impacts

Sustainability is becoming an increasingly important consideration in housing development. Cities across the country are integrating green building practices and energy-efficient housing as part of long-term urban planning strategies.


Opportunities in 2025

While challenges persist, the Canadian housing market offers opportunities for buyers and investors alike. Regions with affordable housing, strong economic fundamentals, and population growth are expected to perform well. Strategic policy interventions aimed at addressing affordability and supply constraints could also yield positive results.

For a full breakdown of regional insights and expert commentary, view the full RE/MAX report here.

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Toronto’s Luxury Real Estate Market Defies Broader Trends, Report Finds

While Toronto's overall real estate market is expected to remain relatively flat in the coming year, the city's luxury sector is marching to the beat of its own drum, showing signs of growth and exclusivity. According to a recent report by RE/MAX, home prices across Toronto are predicted to stay steady into spring 2025. However, in the high-end market, the situation is markedly different, with notable increases in sales and a strong appetite for luxury homes priced over $20 million.

For prospective buyers and sellers in Toronto's prestigious neighbourhoods, like the Bridle Path, the luxury market offers opportunities that don’t align with the broader housing trends in the city. One prime example is a mansion in Bridle Path currently listed at a cool $29 million. If that's a bit outside the budget, there’s always the option to rent it for $60,000 a month.

A Glimpse into Toronto's Elite Property Market

CityNews recently toured one of Toronto's most unique and exclusive properties, a sprawling estate featuring a pool, tennis court, and a generous 17,000 square feet of living space. The property, which sold for $13 million in 2021, has since undergone an estimated $8 million in renovations. This home is designed to appeal to a very specific group of buyers—those seeking opulence, space, and privacy.

“This market caters to a very niche clientele,” explains Paige Torkan, a realtor with her husband Peter. Both are well-known figures in Toronto’s luxury real estate scene, appearing on the show Luxe Listings Canada. Paige and Peter’s expertise reflects a market where demand is high, but the customer base is small and highly discerning.

A Market with Its Own Rhythm

The broader Toronto market may be facing challenges with inventory shortages and affordability issues, but the luxury sector is less affected by these issues. RE/MAX’s report shows that, while most home prices in the city are expected to rise only marginally—by just 0.1%—the luxury market is outpacing those predictions. In fact, homes and condos priced over $4 million have seen a 4% increase in sales this year.

Peter Torkan emphasises that the luxury market operates on a different wavelength. “It has its own sort of niche trend. Buyers in this market are looking for specific needs and wants,” he says. This distinct demand is reflected in the growing number of sales above the $20 million mark. The Torkans are confident that even with the hefty $29 million price tag, the property in Bridle Path won’t stay on the market for long.

Looking Ahead: Luxury Sales on the Rise

While much of Toronto’s real estate market may be seeing flat prices, the luxury sector is an outlier, with an increasing number of high-ticket properties being bought and sold. As Toronto’s economy stabilises and interest rates ease, it’s expected that the city's luxury market will continue to thrive, attracting wealthy buyers who are less affected by the broader market’s challenges.

For sellers, this bodes well, as demand for these ultra-exclusive properties remains strong, and the luxury sector is projected to continue to follow its own trend of growth. For those curious about entering this unique part of Toronto’s real estate world, it’s clear that the path to luxury living is still wide open—but for a very specific kind of buyer.

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Ontario Real Estate Prices Set to Rise in 2025: What You Need to Know

The real estate landscape in Ontario is expected to experience notable price increases in 2025, according to the Re/Max Canada 2025 Housing Market Outlook report. After a period of heightened interest rates, the market is poised for a recovery, fuelled by a series of Bank of Canada interest rate cuts. This shift is likely to boost sales and drive up home prices across Ontario, as the market becomes more active and competitive.

Price Predictions for Ontario Cities in 2025

Across the province, Ontario’s housing market is expected to see price increases in many cities and regions. The report suggests a national average home price hike of five per cent in 2025, with some areas in Ontario seeing even higher jumps.

Here’s a breakdown of the price expectations for several key cities:

  • Mississauga: The average home price in 2023 was $1,068,367, but it dipped slightly to $1,065,923 in the first half of 2024. By 2025, prices are expected to rise by six per cent to $1,129,878.

  • Brampton: Home prices are predicted to increase from $1,011,915 in early 2024 to $1,072,630 by 2025.

  • Durham Region: Average prices could rise from $923,521 to $969,697 by 2025.

  • Hamilton: Prices are expected to climb from $810,093 to $828,320 in 2025.

  • Burlington: A price increase of 4.5% is forecast, pushing the average price from $1,132,823 to $1,183,800.

  • Toronto: Despite a shortage of affordable housing, Toronto will see a slight price increase of just 0.1%, largely due to low inventory.

Other regions across Ontario will also see various price increases:

  • Niagara: +2%

  • Hamilton: +2.3%

  • Ottawa: +2.5%

  • Sault Ste. Marie, Thunder Bay, Muskoka, and Haliburton: +3%

  • Kawartha Lakes: +4%

  • London and Burlington: +4.5%

  • Peterborough, Sudbury, North Bay, Durham, Kingston, York Region: +5%

  • Kitchener-Waterloo, Mississauga, Brampton: +6%

  • Simcoe County: +10%

What’s Driving the Market?

The report highlights a shift in the market driven by recent changes in monetary policy. With the Bank of Canada reducing interest rates, prospective homebuyers are getting a much-needed reprieve from the high mortgage rates that have characterised the past few years. This, combined with changes to the mortgage stress test, is expected to boost market activity, particularly among first-time homebuyers.

First-time buyers are showing increased confidence, with a Leger survey commissioned by Re/Max Canada finding that 81% of regions expect this demographic to be the main driver of housing demand in 2025. Additionally, 47% of Canadians are prioritising homes in areas less likely to be impacted by climate change, indicating a shift toward sustainability in homebuying decisions.

Sellers’ Markets and Housing Shortages

The Re/Max report also anticipates that 44 regions across Canada will become sellers’ markets, meaning that demand for homes will outstrip supply. In these markets, homes typically sell quickly, and prices tend to rise as buyers compete for limited inventory.

Ontario will see a mix of sellers’ and balanced markets. For instance, Sudbury, North Bay, Simcoe County, York Region, Windsor, Kenora, and Thunder Bay are expected to experience strong sellers' conditions. Meanwhile, Peterborough, Kawartha Lakes, Burlington, Hamilton, Muskoka, and Haliburton may see more buyer-friendly environments, with Niagara expected to experience both buyer’s and balanced market conditions throughout the year.

Looking Ahead

Overall, the Ontario real estate market in 2025 is set to see a period of recovery, with price increases anticipated across many cities and regions. While affordability challenges remain, the combination of interest rate cuts, a more active market, and a growing number of first-time homebuyers are likely to push prices upward. For those looking to enter the market, now may be the time to make a move, especially as inventory remains limited and competition rises.

Stay informed about local market trends to make the best decisions for your real estate journey!

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How Much You Need to Earn to Buy a Home in Canada’s Largest Cities

The dream of owning a home in one of Canada’s major cities might be getting a bit more attainable, as the average income required to purchase a home continues to decrease. This change is primarily due to falling mortgage rates and slightly easing home prices across the country, providing some relief to potential buyers.

In fact, new data from Ratehub.ca shows that the income required to buy a home in Canada has dropped once again, as of October 2024. This decrease signals a shift towards improved affordability, although buying a home in some of Canada's largest cities still remains a significant financial challenge.

Mortgage Rate Cuts Boost Affordability

The decrease in income requirements comes as mortgage rates have steadily decreased, with the Bank of Canada reducing its key lending rate on October 23, 2024, from 4.25% to 3.75%. This adjustment made qualifying for a mortgage a little easier, as the associated stress test for buyers became less difficult to pass. The stress test uses a mortgage rate that is 2% higher than what the buyer is getting from a lender (or 5.25%, whichever is higher) to determine if they can manage rising payments should rates increase in the future.

Lower mortgage rates make it easier for buyers to pass the test, which is based on factors such as the home’s price, annual salary, and other monthly debts. The Financial Consumer Agency of Canada's Mortgage Qualifier Tool helps estimate monthly payments, factoring in things like property value, down payments, and other debts. Buyers can use this tool to see if they qualify based on recommended debt ratios—32% for gross debt service and 40% for total debt service.

A Closer Look at Key Canadian Cities

When it comes to major urban centres, the income needed to buy a home has dropped in several cities, with Vancouver, Toronto, and Hamilton seeing the most significant decreases. These cities are benefiting from relatively stable home prices and better availability of inventory, which helps prevent price increases that could outpace mortgage rate cuts.

For instance, in Vancouver, the required salary for homebuyers decreased by the largest amount for the second consecutive month, following a similar trend in Toronto. Both cities also experienced an uptick in sales activity in October, which boosted the market without causing home prices to climb.

On the other hand, Fredericton saw a surprising rise in income requirements. Despite an overall trend of easing home prices in Canada, Fredericton experienced a jump in its average home price by $16,100 from September to October, causing the required income to go up by almost $2,000.

Victoria and Fredericton were the outliers in this trend, where prices continued to climb instead of stabilizing or decreasing.

How Much Do You Need to Earn?

So, how much do you actually need to make to buy a home in Canada's biggest cities? Let’s break it down:

  • Vancouver: As one of the priciest markets in Canada, homebuyers in Vancouver need to earn a significant income to afford an average home. However, recent price drops and mortgage rate cuts have provided some breathing room for potential buyers.

  • Toronto: Similarly, the required salary to buy a home in Toronto remains high, but a decrease in home prices and interest rates has eased the financial burden for many buyers.

  • Hamilton: This Ontario city has also seen a drop in the required income, with easing prices and mortgage rate cuts improving affordability for buyers.

  • Fredericton: The only city where the income requirement has risen, Fredericton's sharp rise in home prices has made it more difficult to qualify for a mortgage, even as prices drop in other areas.

The Bottom Line

While affordability is improving in several Canadian cities due to lower mortgage rates, buying a home is still a challenge for many Canadians. However, the combination of lower mortgage rates and stabilizing prices in several key markets means that potential buyers have a better chance of affording their first home. As the Bank of Canada continues to adjust interest rates, it’s clear that these shifts could continue to provide relief to those trying to navigate the ever-changing real estate market.

For those looking to buy, it’s a good time to evaluate your financial situation, use mortgage tools to gauge your affordability, and keep an eye on the housing market trends in your desired city.

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Bank of Canada's Interest Rate Cut: What It Means for the Housing Market

The Bank of Canada recently delivered a significant interest rate cut, lowering its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.75%. While the term “oversized” has been used to describe the move, the cut is certainly welcome news for homeowners with variable-rate mortgages, as well as those nearing mortgage renewal.

The Immediate Impact on Homeowners

For homeowners with variable-rate mortgages, this rate cut means the cost of their mortgage is likely to decrease. According to mortgage expert Penelope Graham from Ratehub.ca, prime rates are expected to fall to around 5.95% at most lenders. As a result, borrowers will see a reduction in either their monthly payments or the portion of their payment dedicated to servicing the interest on the loan.

This rate cut is part of a broader effort by the Bank of Canada to address inflation, and it could have a ripple effect on the housing market. The bank’s latest monetary policy report suggests that lower rates could eventually lead to a recovery in home sales and a modest increase in home prices.

A Waiting Game for Buyers

Despite the recent rate cut, many potential homebuyers remain cautious. While some buyers are starting to take advantage of the lower interest rates, many are still holding out, hoping for further rate reductions. Graham notes that some buyers may continue to wait for another anticipated 50-basis-point cut in December before making their move.

Moreover, changes to mortgage policies set to take effect on December 15 could prompt even more activity in the market come the new year. The combination of lower interest rates and new policies could lead to a flurry of buying and selling activity, especially in early 2025.

The Housing Market's Outlook

Victor Tran, a mortgage and real estate expert at Ratesdotca, suggests that while the rate cut could encourage some buyers to enter the market, many are still reluctant to act until they feel certain the market has bottomed out. He points out that predicting the bottom of the market is nearly impossible, and potential buyers are hesitant to rush in without that clarity.

However, Tran believes that once the market begins to pick up, it could “heat up quickly,” with more buyers entering the market and sellers responding in kind. This could lead to a busy winter and a very active spring season in 2025, as buyers rush to lock in favourable rates before any further rate changes.

A “Holding Pattern” for Now

Despite the rate cuts, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has downgraded its housing market forecast for the remainder of the year. The organization had previously expected that rate cuts would lead to a gradual recovery in the housing market, but the anticipated surge in activity has not materialized yet. CREA now predicts that national home sales will remain relatively flat until spring 2025, when a sharper rebound is expected.

For the remainder of 2024, CREA forecasts that about 468,900 residential properties will change hands, a modest increase of 5.2% compared to 2023. While the housing market has been slower to respond than initially expected, CREA remains optimistic that lower interest rates will drive an increase in sales and prices in 2025. The national average home price is projected to edge up to $683,200 by the end of the year and rise to $713,375 in 2025, representing a 4.4% annual increase.

Housing Starts Show Mixed Trends

In addition to interest rates, the pace of housing construction also plays a role in shaping the housing market. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) reports a slight decline in the six-month trend for housing starts, down 1.3% from August to September. However, in September itself, housing starts increased by 5%, driven by a rise in multi-unit and single-detached home construction in some provinces, particularly Alberta, Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces.

On the flip side, housing starts in Ontario and British Columbia have decreased, although these provinces had historically high levels of construction in 2023. Notably, Montreal has seen a strong recovery in new home construction, with a 15% increase in housing starts from January to September compared to the previous year.

Despite these regional differences, CMHC notes that the overall housing starts in Canada are still below what is needed to restore affordability, especially in urban centres.

Looking Ahead: Will the Market Heat Up?

As the year draws to a close, the Canadian housing market remains in a “holding pattern.” While the Bank of Canada’s recent interest rate cuts have provided relief for homeowners, the full impact on the market remains uncertain. Buyers are waiting for signs that the market is bottoming out, and sellers are holding off on listing properties until they see increased demand.

If the anticipated rate cuts and new mortgage policies fuel a market recovery, we could see a surge in activity in early 2025. For those thinking about buying or selling a home, it may be wise to stay informed about upcoming rate decisions and market shifts as the year progresses.

Stay tuned—2025 may be a much busier year for the Canadian housing market than many anticipate.

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Selling Your Home Before Your Mortgage Term Ends: What You Need to Know

Life changes, and sometimes, those changes mean your home no longer fits your needs. Whether it’s a job relocation, growing your family, or downsizing after the kids have moved out, you may find yourself considering selling your home before your mortgage term is up. But before you list that “For Sale” sign, it’s essential to understand the costs and implications of breaking your mortgage contract early.

The Cost of Breaking Your Mortgage Contract

When it comes to selling your home early, the biggest factor to consider is the type of mortgage you have. The financial consequences can vary greatly depending on whether you have an open or closed mortgage.

  • Open Mortgages: If you have an open mortgage, you're in luck. These types of loans allow you to sell your home without facing penalties. You can pay off the mortgage in full at any time, which includes the option to sell your property before the mortgage term ends.

  • Closed Mortgages: On the other hand, if you have a closed mortgage, you will likely face penalties. The most significant of these is the pre-payment penalty, which is a fee for breaking your mortgage contract early. Depending on the terms of your mortgage, this penalty could be substantial—potentially thousands of dollars.

In addition to the pre-payment penalty, other costs may be associated with breaking your mortgage early, including:

  • Administrative fees

  • Appraisal fees

  • Reinvestment fees

  • Mortgage discharge fee (to remove the charge on your current mortgage)

If you received a cash-back incentive or a line of credit when you initially took out your mortgage, you may also be required to repay those amounts upon selling your home.

What Are Your Options for Breaking the Mortgage Contract?

If you're contemplating selling your home early, you do have some options to potentially reduce the financial burden:

  1. Blend-and-Extend Option: Some mortgage lenders may offer a solution called Blend-and-Extend. This allows you to extend your mortgage term while blending the interest rates of your old and new terms. In doing so, you avoid the pre-payment penalty. However, administrative fees may still apply, and not every lender offers this option.

  2. Breaking the Mortgage: If a Blend-and-Extend is not an option, breaking the mortgage contract may be your only choice. Although you might get a lower interest rate on your new home, you’ll need to factor in the pre-payment penalty and other associated fees. It’s crucial to weigh whether the benefits of breaking your contract outweigh the costs.

Pros and Cons of Selling Your Home Early

Selling your home before your mortgage term expires might sound appealing, but it’s important to carefully consider both the advantages and disadvantages:

Pros:

  • Lower Interest Rates: If interest rates have dropped since you first took out your mortgage, selling your home and buying a new one may allow you to lock in a lower rate, potentially saving you money over time.

  • Faster Payoff: If you’re able to secure a lower interest rate, and you continue to make the same mortgage payments, you might pay off your new mortgage faster than your old one.

Cons:

  • High Pre-Payment Penalties: The fees for breaking your mortgage before the term ends can be significant. Even if you secure a lower interest rate on your new home, the pre-payment penalties and additional fees could make this option more expensive than you anticipate.

  • Qualification Challenges: With the current economic conditions, there’s no guarantee that you will qualify for a new mortgage, especially if you’re downsizing or moving into a rental. It’s important to be aware of your financial situation before making any decisions.

What Does a Pre-Payment Penalty Look Like?

One of the most significant considerations when breaking your mortgage early is the pre-payment penalty. The amount varies depending on the interest rate environment and your specific mortgage terms.

  • If interest rates have risen since you signed your mortgage, you could face a hefty penalty. Lenders often calculate the penalty using an Interest Rate Differential (IRD), which is the difference between your current mortgage rate and the current rate for the remaining term of your mortgage. This difference is then multiplied by your mortgage balance.

For example, if you have a $300,000 mortgage balance with a fixed interest rate of 3% on a five-year term, and there are three years left in your contract, your lender will assess the current interest rates for three-year terms and calculate the difference. This difference could result in a substantial penalty, especially if rates have increased.

If you have a variable-rate mortgage, your penalty might simply be three months of interest payments. But for fixed-rate mortgages, it could be the three-month interest or the IRD amount—whichever is greater.

How to Minimize the Penalties

There are a few strategies you can use to minimize the penalties associated with breaking your mortgage:

  • Maximize Pre-Payments: Some mortgages allow you to make additional payments without penalties. By reducing your mortgage balance ahead of time, you may lower the pre-payment penalty.

  • Open Mortgages: If you have an open mortgage, there’s more flexibility to sell your home early without penalties. You may also want to explore open mortgages when refinancing, as they offer greater freedom.

Important Steps Before Selling

If you are thinking about selling your home before your mortgage term ends, there are a couple of steps you should take:

  1. Request a Payoff Quote: Contact your mortgage lender to get a quote for the remaining balance on your mortgage. This will give you a clear picture of what you owe.

  2. Calculate Your Home Equity: Determine how much equity you have in your home. This is the difference between your home’s market value and the remaining mortgage balance, and it could impact your financial situation when selling.

Final Thoughts

Selling your home before the mortgage term ends can be an attractive option if your needs have changed. However, it’s essential to understand the costs involved, from pre-payment penalties to additional fees. Consulting with a mortgage advisor and a real estate agent will help you navigate the process and determine if selling early is the right choice for your financial situation.

Take the time to carefully evaluate your options, weigh the pros and cons, and make sure the benefits of selling outweigh the costs. By gathering all the necessary information, you can make an informed decision that aligns with your long-term goals.

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Bringing a Positive Charge Back to Ontario’s Housing Economy: Key Changes to Reduce Costs for Housing Developers

Ontario’s housing market has been facing numerous challenges, from increasing demand to regulatory barriers that slow down development. But recent announcements from the Ontario Energy Board (OEB) and the provincial government signal a shift toward a more streamlined, cost-effective approach to energy infrastructure—aimed at accelerating housing projects across the province. Here’s a breakdown of these important changes and what they mean for developers, builders, and future homeowners.

OEB Proposes Changes to Support Housing Development

On November 18, 2024, the Ontario Energy Board (OEB) introduced a proposal to amend its Distribution System Code (DSC) to ease the connection process for housing developments. These amendments are designed to help developers by reducing the costs associated with connecting to Ontario’s electricity grid. Specifically, for “qualifying housing developments,” the proposed changes will extend the revenue forecast and connection forecast horizons used by electricity utilities to estimate the costs and revenue from system expansions.

Here’s what’s changing:

  • The connection forecast period—the time frame utilities use to calculate potential future revenue from new developments—will increase from 5 years to 15 years.

  • The revenue forecast horizon will be extended from 25 years to 40 years.

This longer time frame means that developers may be required to contribute less upfront to offset potential losses utilities expect from system expansions. By stretching the forecast period, utilities can more accurately account for future revenue, which ultimately reduces the immediate financial burden on developers.

What Does This Mean for Developers?

For developers with active projects, this change could significantly reduce the upfront costs they face when connecting new housing developments to the electricity grid. The OEB is inviting feedback on this proposal, with a public consultation deadline of December 9, 2024.

Once finalized, the changes will apply retroactively to any development where an Offer to Connect has not yet been accepted (as of November 18, 2024). Developers who have received an offer but not yet accepted it are encouraged to reach out to their utility providers to request that the new 15-year connection horizon and 40-year revenue horizon be applied to their project.

To take advantage of this, developers should formally request that their utility re-calculate the economic model for their development, using the updated forecast horizons. If the connection horizon is expected to be less than five years, developers can request a 40-year revenue horizon but may not need to ask for a longer connection period.

The Bigger Picture: The Government’s Pro-Growth Energy Strategy

These amendments are part of a broader provincial strategy to reduce barriers to housing development and create a more affordable, efficient energy system. Earlier in June 2024, the Ontario Energy Minister presented a report outlining the need for regulatory changes to support housing development and economic growth. In response, the Ontario government has taken action to align the energy sector with its pro-growth agenda.

Key elements of the plan include:

  • Integrated Energy Planning: The government’s Affordable Energy Act (Bill 214), which passed its second reading in November 2024, aims to streamline energy production, distribution, and consumption across the province. This will ensure that energy remains affordable and reliable as housing and businesses grow.

  • Focus on Nuclear Power: The government will prioritize nuclear power as a key energy source, given its reliability, affordability, and zero-emissions benefits.

  • Energy Efficiency Programs: The Ontario government plans to expand programs that help families and businesses save on energy costs while reducing carbon emissions.

  • EV Infrastructure: As electric vehicles (EVs) become more common, the government will foster a regulatory environment that supports the expansion of EV charging stations.

  • Reducing Last-Mile Connection Costs: One of the major focuses of the Affordable Energy Act is reducing the cost of last-mile electricity connections—those final links needed to connect new homes and businesses to the grid.

The goal is clear: make it easier and more affordable to build new homes, businesses, and energy-efficient infrastructure. These changes not only aim to ease the financial burden on developers but also align the energy sector with Ontario’s long-term growth plans.

What’s Next for Ontario’s Housing Developers?

The OEB’s proposed changes are an important step forward, but they are just part of a larger effort to address Ontario’s housing affordability crisis. With the provincial government working on an integrated energy plan, developers can expect to see more regulatory changes designed to reduce delays, lower costs, and streamline energy connections for new developments.

If you're a developer or builder in Ontario, here’s what you can do:

  • Review the OEB’s Proposed Amendments: Familiarize yourself with the details of the proposed changes and assess how they could impact your current or future projects.

  • Reach Out to Your Utility Provider: If you have an outstanding Offer to Connect, make sure to request that they apply the new, extended forecast periods to your project.

  • Stay Informed: Keep up to date with the ongoing developments regarding the Affordable Energy Act and other legislative changes that could further impact energy costs and housing development timelines.

Conclusion: A Bright Future for Housing Development in Ontario

The proposed changes from the Ontario Energy Board and the broader government strategy to modernize the energy sector represent a significant shift toward faster, more affordable housing development. By addressing energy-related cost barriers, Ontario is moving closer to meeting its housing needs while supporting growth in a sustainable and cost-effective manner.

For more detailed information on how the OEB’s amendments may affect your specific project, it’s always best to consult with industry professionals and legal experts. The future of Ontario’s housing market is looking brighter, and these new energy initiatives are a key part of that promise.

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Where Homes Are Selling the Fastest (and Slowest) in Southern Ontario Right Now

The real estate market in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) has been shifting over the past year, with homes now taking varying amounts of time to sell depending on the neighborhood. While some areas are experiencing rapid sales, others are seeing properties sit on the market much longer. If you’re curious about the latest trends, here’s a look at where homes are selling the fastest — and the slowest — across Southern Ontario.

The Changing Pace of Home Sales in the GTA

According to a recent analysis by the digital real estate platform Wahi, homes across the GTA are taking anywhere from 10 to 63 days to sell, depending on the neighborhood. On average, properties are taking 28 days to sell, which is about 9 days longer than the same period last year. However, these figures tell only part of the story, as there are some communities where homes are selling at a much quicker pace.

The GTA market is still showing signs of rebounding, but not all areas are experiencing the same level of activity. In fact, 86% of neighborhoods in the GTA are seeing slower sales compared to the previous year, but there are notable exceptions where homes are changing hands quickly.

The Fastest-Selling Homes in the GTA

If you're in the market for a home and want to know where properties are moving fastest, you’ll want to look at low-rise neighborhoods in the City of Toronto. These areas tend to have a quicker turnover compared to other parts of the region.

One standout neighborhood is Raymerville in Markham, where homes sell at lightning speed. Homes in Raymerville are moving six times faster than in some of the slower-selling neighborhoods in the region. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including pricing, the type of properties in the area, and overall demand.

Other pockets of fast-moving homes can be found in urban and suburban areas of Toronto, where demand for detached and semi-detached homes is high. Properties that are priced well and in desirable locations are still attracting competitive bids and moving quickly.

The Slowest-Selling Homes in the GTA

On the flip side, there are certain neighborhoods where homes are sitting on the market for much longer. Burlington is home to several of the slowest-selling neighborhoods in the GTA. Four out of the seven slowest-selling areas in the region are found here, particularly in neighborhoods like Freeman.

Why is this the case? Burlington has seen an increase in condo development in recent years, but many of these condos aren’t seeing the same level of demand as detached homes in other parts of the region. Additionally, areas like Tyandaga — a leafy, low-rise neighborhood with detached homes — are also experiencing longer-than-usual sale timelines.

Overall, homes in the Freeman neighborhood in Burlington take six times longer to sell on average compared to areas like Raymerville in Markham. For example, while Raymerville homes are selling in an average of 10 days, homes in Freeman can sit on the market for upwards of 60 days.

What’s Behind These Market Trends?

As Wahi’s CEO Benjy Katchen points out, the speed of a home sale is influenced by more than just overall market trends. Factors such as the type of property, its price, and the specific neighborhood can have a significant impact. Some sellers are holding out for higher prices, while others are adjusting their expectations to meet the current market conditions.

Some homeowners may choose to wait for a rebound or hold off on selling until spring, in the hopes of getting a better price. However, properties that are competitively priced and well-positioned in desirable neighborhoods tend to attract buyers quickly, even in slower market conditions.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, understanding where homes are selling quickly (and where they are taking longer) can be helpful in crafting your strategy. In fast-moving neighborhoods, you may need to be prepared to act quickly and potentially make competitive offers. On the other hand, in slower markets, there could be opportunities for negotiating better prices or finding homes that haven’t garnered as much interest.

For sellers, pricing your home appropriately is more important than ever. If you're in a neighborhood where homes are taking longer to sell, consider adjusting your expectations and pricing accordingly to attract more buyers. In fast-moving areas, pricing competitively can still generate significant interest and potentially lead to quicker sales.

Final Thoughts

While the real estate market in the Greater Toronto Area is seeing varied speeds of sales, there’s still plenty of movement happening in the right areas. Whether you’re buying or selling, understanding these local trends and adjusting your strategy accordingly can make all the difference. Keep an eye on market conditions, and make sure your property is priced right to ensure a successful sale, no matter which neighborhood you’re in.

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Canada's Housing Starts Show Positive Growth in October, But Challenges Remain

Canada’s housing market showed signs of recovery in October, with the national pace of housing starts rising by eight per cent compared to September. According to the latest data from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of housing starts reached 240,761 units in October, up from 223,391 in the previous month.

Urban Housing: A Mixed Picture

The increase in housing starts was driven largely by urban areas, which saw a six per cent rise in the annual pace of construction, reaching 223,111 units. The bulk of this growth came from multi-unit housing starts, such as condominiums, townhouses, and apartment buildings, which rose by seven per cent to 175,705 units. On the other hand, single-detached urban housing starts showed a more modest increase of just one per cent, totalling 47,406 units.

Rural housing starts, though a smaller portion of the overall market, were estimated to have reached 17,650 units.

Regional Variations: The Prairies and Atlantic Provinces See Gains

CMHC’s report highlighted regional variations in housing activity. The Prairies, Quebec, and Atlantic provinces have experienced higher levels of construction in 2024, contributing to the overall uptick in national housing starts. Meanwhile, Ontario and British Columbia have seen declines, with Ontario in particular facing challenges.

In fact, year-to-date housing starts in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver reflect these regional disparities. Toronto has seen a significant drop of 21 per cent in housing starts compared to the same period in 2023. Vancouver, after a record-breaking 2023, is down by 18 per cent year-to-date. However, Montreal has bucked the trend with a 12 per cent increase in housing starts over the same period.

Housing Affordability: Still a Major Concern

While the increase in housing starts is a positive sign for the Canadian economy, CMHC’s chief economist Bob Dugan cautioned that the pace of construction is still far below what is needed to address the ongoing affordability crisis in Canada’s urban centres. This remains a key challenge as high housing demand continues to outstrip supply, particularly in major metropolitan areas.

Despite the growth in construction activity, affordability issues remain pressing. CMHC's latest data underscores the fact that Canada is not building enough homes to meet the needs of its growing population, particularly in cities like Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal.

Looking Ahead: A Soft Outlook for Housing Starts

While October’s strong performance may suggest a positive outlook, economists warn that the national housing market could face challenges moving forward. TD economist Rishi Sondhi pointed out that although the pace of starts in October was healthy, the overall outlook for housing starts in 2025 is expected to soften, largely due to ongoing weakness in Ontario's housing market.

Pre-sales activity in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) remains sluggish, and with fewer homes being sold before construction begins, Sondhi predicts that starts will decline next year. Ontario, which has been a major driver of Canada’s housing market in recent years, has seen a significant slowdown, with starts in the province dropping to levels not seen since 2020.

Nevertheless, Sondhi suggests that homebuilding will likely remain strong in other parts of Canada, especially in regions where demand is still robust.

Conclusion: Progress, but Challenges Ahead

In summary, the October 2024 housing start numbers from CMHC reveal a mixed yet somewhat optimistic picture for the Canadian housing market. While growth in urban housing starts is a positive development, regional disparities and the ongoing affordability crisis are critical factors that could dampen future growth. The outlook for housing starts remains uncertain, with Ontario and British Columbia facing continued challenges, while other regions like Quebec and the Prairies show promise.

As Canada continues to grapple with housing affordability, it’s clear that more needs to be done to ensure that construction levels meet the demand in key urban centres. The increase in housing starts is a step in the right direction, but the country still faces an uphill battle to make housing more accessible for all Canadians.

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Top 10 Things to Know When Selling Your Home

Selling a home is a big financial and personal decision. A successful sale requires preparation, understanding market conditions, and careful planning. Here are the top ten things you should know before selling your home, particularly in the Canadian real estate market.

1. Understand Your Market Conditions

The Canadian real estate market varies by region, with prices influenced by factors like season, economic outlook, and interest rates. Research your local market trends, whether it’s a buyer’s or seller’s market, and recent sale prices in your neighborhood to help set realistic expectations.

2. Set the Right Price

Pricing your home accurately is essential. Overpricing can lead to a longer time on the market, while underpricing could mean missed profit. Consult with real estate professionals who understand your area and review comparable properties (often called “comps”) to price your home competitively.

3. Choose a Reliable Real Estate Agent

A skilled agent can make a big difference. Look for an agent with local market expertise, a solid marketing strategy, and a track record of success. Interview potential agents and ask about their experience in your neighborhood, their selling approach, and any fees involved.

4. Declutter and Stage Your Home

Presentation is key. A clean, decluttered space appeals to buyers, helping them envision themselves in the home. Consider staging your property with neutral décor and good lighting to make rooms feel open and welcoming. Small touches, like fresh flowers and minor repairs, can boost your home’s appeal.

5. Prepare for Showings and Open Houses

Flexibility is crucial for attracting buyers. Be prepared for frequent showings and keep your home in top shape for open houses. It’s wise to accommodate potential buyers’ schedules, as convenient viewing times can encourage more interest and competitive offers.

6. Know Your Closing Costs

In Canada, home sellers should be prepared for closing costs, which may include legal fees, real estate commissions, discharge fees for mortgages, and moving expenses. Having an understanding of these costs upfront helps you manage your budget and expectations.

7. Be Aware of Capital Gains Tax

In Canada, if the property you’re selling is not your primary residence, you may be subject to capital gains tax on the sale profit. Knowing how this tax applies to you can prevent surprises at tax time. Consulting with a tax professional for guidance is a wise step.

8. Disclose Property Issues

Honesty builds buyer trust. In Canada, sellers are required to disclose known issues with their property. Transparency about past repairs, renovations, or any damage history is crucial, as failing to disclose issues could lead to legal complications post-sale.

9. Understand the Offer Process

In a competitive market, multiple offers can create bidding wars, potentially increasing your sale price. Familiarize yourself with offer terms, and work with your agent to determine the best strategy when considering or countering offers. Conditional offers, which may depend on inspections or financing, are common in Canada.

10. Time the Market, If Possible

Timing can impact your final sale price. Spring and early fall tend to be peak times for home sales in Canada, while winter months are slower. If you’re not in a rush, try listing during a period when buyers are more active to improve your chances of a quicker, higher-priced sale.

Selling a home is a journey, but with these tips, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the process and achieve a successful outcome.

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Canada Rent Report: A Rare Decline in Asking Rents Across the Country

For the first time in over three years, asking rents across Canada have seen a year-over-year decline. According to a report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation, average asking rents dropped by 1.2% in October 2024, reaching $2,152 per month. This marks the first national decrease in rents since July 2021, signalling a shift in the Canadian rental market.

Why Are Rents Dropping?

The decline in rental prices is primarily concentrated in Canada's major urban centres, such as Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, and Montreal. As rental demand begins to soften, the factors that previously fuelled rent growth—strong economic conditions, rapid population growth, and a lack of affordable housing—are starting to reverse.

Shaun Hildebrand, president of Urbanation, explained that this shift is largely due to a slowing economy, stabilising population growth, and decreasing homeownership affordability. Furthermore, apartment completions are at record highs, with more new rental units entering the market and providing renters with additional options.

As a result, rental prices in many cities across the country are beginning to trend downward, a rare occurrence after years of consistent increases.

Provincial Breakdown: Where Are the Biggest Changes?

The national rent decline has been particularly noticeable in British Columbia (B.C.) and Ontario, where average asking rents for apartments have dropped by 3.4% and 5.7%, respectively.

  • B.C.: The average asking rent for an apartment in B.C. decreased to $2,549, down 3.4% from the previous year.

  • Ontario: In Ontario, rents fell to an average of $2,350, marking a 5.7% drop.

While these provinces have seen significant decreases, other parts of Canada are experiencing the opposite. Saskatchewan, for example, saw rents rise dramatically, with asking rents up 17.1% in October. This marked the fastest growth in the country, following a 23.5% jump in September.

Rent Declines by City

Several major cities also saw notable declines in asking rents, particularly in the rental prices for apartments.

  • Toronto: Rents in Toronto dropped by 9.2%, with the average asking rent falling to $2,642.

  • Vancouver: Vancouver saw an 8.4% decrease, with average rents dropping to $2,945.

  • Calgary: In Calgary, apartment rents decreased by 4.7%, bringing the average to $1,995.

  • Montreal: Montreal recorded a 2.9% decrease, with the average rent falling to $1,987.

Interestingly, Ottawa experienced a slight uptick in rents, with a modest 0.4% increase, bringing the average rent to $2,207.

Edmonton Sees Rent Growth

While most of Canada's major cities saw rent declines, Edmonton bucked the trend. The city experienced an 8.4% increase in apartment rents, with the average rent rising to $1,584. This was the highest annual growth among Canada's largest cities, highlighting a growing demand for rental properties in the area.

A Glimpse at Rental Prices for Different Unit Types

Looking at specific types of rental units, the report showed the following trends for October 2024:

  • One-bedroom units: The average asking rent for a one-bedroom apartment across Canada was $1,923, down 0.8% compared to the previous year.

  • Two-bedroom units: The average asking rent for a two-bedroom unit was $2,308, slightly down by 0.2% year-over-year.

For purpose-built rental apartments, rents rose by 1.7%, reaching an average of $2,100 per month. Meanwhile, condominium rents saw a larger decline, falling 3.8% to an average of $2,265.

What Does This Mean for Renters and Landlords?

For renters, this is a welcome development, especially after years of rising rents in major Canadian cities. A decrease in rental prices—albeit modest—offers a glimmer of relief to those struggling to keep up with escalating housing costs. The increased availability of new rental units, coupled with softer demand, could further help renters in their search for affordable housing.

For landlords, the trend of decreasing rents may signal the need to adjust expectations and be more flexible in their pricing strategies. As the market stabilises, landlords may face increased competition for tenants, and pricing will likely become more sensitive to shifts in supply and demand.

Looking Ahead

As the rental market continues to adjust to shifting economic and demographic trends, it remains to be seen whether these declines will continue in the near future. With more apartments being built and a potential slowdown in population growth, it’s possible that rents will continue to ease in many parts of Canada.

Overall, this marks a pivotal moment in the Canadian rental market, as landlords and tenants alike navigate a landscape that’s been transformed by record-high rent prices over the past several years. If these trends persist, the Canadian rental market may become a little more tenant-friendly in the coming months, offering more affordable options in the country's largest cities.

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Canada Rent Report: What Tenants Can Expect to Pay as Rent Prices Decline

For the first time in over three years, asking rents across Canada have experienced a year-over-year decline. According to a new report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation, the average asking rent in Canada dropped 1.2% in October 2024, bringing the national average to $2,152. This marks the first time since July 2021 that national rents have fallen, offering some relief for tenants after years of rapid increases.

Key Takeaways: National Rent Decline and Provincial Trends

While the national decrease may seem modest, the drop is concentrated in Canada’s major urban centres—cities like Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, and Montreal have all seen significant reductions in average rents.

  • Ontario and British Columbia saw the largest provincial declines. In B.C., the average asking rent for an apartment fell by 3.4%, reaching $2,549, while in Ontario, rents dropped 5.7%, bringing the average to $2,350.

  • Cities with some of the largest rent decreases include:

    • Toronto: Average rent decreased by 9.2%, landing at $2,642.

    • Vancouver: A drop of 8.4%, bringing rents down to $2,945.

    • Calgary: Rent prices fell 4.7% to $1,995.

    • Montreal: Average rents dropped 2.9%, to $1,987.

However, not all markets are seeing a downward trend. Edmonton experienced the largest increase among major cities, with apartment rents rising by 8.4% to $1,584.

Why Are Rents Declining?

According to Shaun Hildebrand, president of Urbanation, several factors have contributed to the cooling of Canada’s rental market. The key drivers of rent growth in recent years—such as a strengthening economy, rapid population growth, and affordability issues in the housing market—are beginning to reverse.

  • Rising Population: A significant increase in population, particularly from immigration, has created more demand for rental units, driving rents higher. However, this demand is now beginning to stabilize.

  • Homeownership Affordability: Rising home prices and mortgage rates made homeownership less attainable, causing more people to rent. As affordability challenges in the housing market shift, fewer people are being pushed into the rental market.

  • New Construction: The increase in new apartment completions at record highs is helping to meet demand, reducing upward pressure on rents.

Rent Breakdown: One-Bedroom vs. Two-Bedroom

In October 2024, the average asking rent for a one-bedroom apartment across Canada was $1,923, which is down 0.8% from the previous year. Meanwhile, rents for two-bedroom units averaged $2,308, a slight decline of 0.2%.

Interestingly, there was a larger discrepancy between different types of rental units:

  • Purpose-built rental apartments saw an average rent increase of 1.7%, reaching $2,100.

  • Condominium apartments experienced a 3.8% decline, with an average rent of $2,265.

Regional Rent Trends: A Closer Look

While the national average may have dropped, the regional dynamics show a more complex picture:

  • Saskatchewan stands out as the fastest-growing province, with rents soaring by 17.1% year-over-year, though this represents a slight slowdown from September’s 23.5% growth.

  • Ottawa was one of the few cities where rents remained largely stable, with a 0.4% increase bringing average rents to $2,207.

What This Means for Tenants and Landlords

The slight national decrease in asking rents offers some much-needed relief for tenants, particularly those in major markets where rent has been skyrocketing for the past several years. However, these trends vary widely depending on location, with some provinces and cities still experiencing significant rent growth.

For landlords, the market is evolving. While some areas are seeing declines, the ongoing rise in purpose-built apartment completions and a stabilizing rental market could signal that rent growth may slow in the near future.

Tenants in cities with decreasing rents may benefit from lower rental costs, but those in markets with rising rents, like Edmonton, could continue facing higher rental prices. In general, renters should expect more stable rent growth over the coming months, especially as new housing supply enters the market.

Conclusion

The recent dip in asking rents marks an important shift in Canada's rental landscape. While national rents may be falling, the dynamics are complex and vary significantly by province and city. The trend of rising rents could be slowing down, thanks to new construction and changing economic factors. Whether you're a tenant looking for better deals or a landlord navigating these shifts, understanding these regional trends can help you make more informed decisions in the months ahead.

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